Are Colorado leaves already changing? We separate fact from fiction.

When Dan West heard on the radio last week that the fall foliage color change had started already in Summit County, he reacted with skepticism and a bit of annoyance.

It’s not that he doesn’t appreciate the beauty of a hillside embroidered with yellow and gold aspen stands in September. It’s just that the entomologist for the Colorado State Forest Service was dubious that the change had begun so early.

“I thought, ‘Here we go again,’” West said. “We need to stop with the misinformation and just give people the facts.”

West, who annually spends late summer inspecting forests in the state from an airplane to determine their health, drove to Summit and Eagle counties last weekend to see for himself. His suspicions were confirmed.

An aspen leaf in Summit County shows signs of "marginal necrosis," with its edges turning brown due to insufficient moisture, according to state forest entomologist Dan West. It's not the start of the fall foliage color change, West said. The leaf will soon turn fully brown. (Provided by Dan West)
An aspen leaf in Summit County shows signs of "marginal necrosis," with its edges turning brown due to insufficient moisture, according to state forest entomologist Dan West. It's not the start of the fall foliage color change, West said. The leaf will soon turn fully brown. (Provided by Dan West)

“There is a little bit of yellowing, but it’s a stress response to drought stress,” West said. “There is some of what is called marginal necrosis, leaf burning around the edges, which is an indication that it just doesn’t have enough water. When it’s losing more water than it’s gaining, it starts to die off the edges of the leaf. Ultimately, a portion of the leaf near that brown area goes yellow first. Then it just goes brown.

“Around that brown edge is this little line of yellow,” West added. “From afar, it makes the tree look almost like it’s yellow, but it’s not. It’s more brown than it is yellow.”

West believes the fall color change will begin in two to three weeks in the northern mountains, slightly earlier than normal, followed by the central mountains along the Interstate 70 corridor a week later. Last year, the peak began about the third week of September.

Many aspen still look green and appear to be fine, West said, but he observed stressed aspen at Breckenridge, Frisco, Silverthorne, Vail Pass and Vail.

“It’s pretty widespread along the I-70 corridor,” West said. “I think it’s a pretty safe bet to say reports of early fall colors are really more of a report of poor aspen condition and stress from trees with not enough water. Walking through the forest, I was kind of amazed at how thin some of the aspens already look. Most of that is because they get this drought stress, so they start to shut down their processes a little bit earlier.

This aspen tree photographed last weekend in Breckenridge turned brown because of drought stress, according to state forest entomologist Dan West, not onset of fall colors. (Provided by Dan West).
This aspen tree photographed last weekend in Breckenridge turned brown because of drought stress, according to state forest entomologist Dan West, not onset of fall colors. (Provided by Dan West).

“I think that’s what’s happening,” he continued. “There are already brown leaves that are falling off trees as we speak.”

That doesn’t mean fall colors will be a bust when the actual fall color change comes in September, West said.

“I still think there is going to be a show,” West said. “On the west side of Vail Pass, those stands look as green as green can be. Sometimes that’s one of the prettiest spots (for fall foliage) in all of Colorado. There are many, many trees that still look green, that look fine.

“I think a month from now, we’re going to see some stands that might go a little bit earlier (than normal) in color. Some stands will be more muted. And I think we’re not going to see as many of the deep oranges and dark reds,” he added.

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